Don't ask Alice

Dentistry in the recession
Dr Marc Cooper, dental business consultant, shares his thoughts on the recession and its impact on dentistry in his latest e-newsletter.

"The impact of the recession on dental practices currently runs the gamut. Some practices remain healthy, maybe even growing. Some practices are staying flat. But more and more practices are starting to contract. And for those practices that are contracting, they will soon face some tough choices.

If you are one of these practices, there will be no clear signs about what choices to make. No crystal ball, no seer that can predict with certainty what will happen. You will have to think for yourself. You'll have to make up your own mind. You'll have to decide who and what to believe.

Now certainly I might be wrong. There are those who say the recession won't affect you, so keep on doing what you're doing. Hey, they might be right. I happen to see it differently. It is my assertion, sooner or later, that nearly every practice will have consequences from the recession.

And these consequences will bring changes in practice requiring choices - choices that will shape your practice for years to come. Remember, no choice is 'just another choice.' Choices last.

Of course you'll talk to colleagues. You'll go to programs that present opposing views. You'll read articles, maybe even follow a few blogs. But no one can help you in that final moment when you have to make these choices. You can get all the advice, information and opinion you want, but it will never be enough to make your choices easy or a sure thing.

Do you sign up for plans now or later? If you do, which plans do you sign up for? Do you reduce the number of hygiene hours since the book isn't full? Do you restructure you financial arrangement so patients can afford more care but you'll have to increase your receivable?

Making a choice commits you to a future path. Making a choice is one of those existential moments when you are totally by yourself with your hand on the switch only you can pull.

What will you choose?

Who will you believe?

Some Say:

Some Say that only 11 percent of the population is being directly impacted by the recession. You don't need to make any changes in your practice. In fact, this is a good time to expand your practice.

Some Say "My practice is doing fine" and "It won't ever happen to me." Some Say "Things will soon return to normal so you don't need to make any changes, in your personal or practice spending." Some Say "This recession is all made up."

I Say:

I Say the 80/20 rule does prevail, but that 80 percent of the dental practices in this country and worldwide will be impacted by the recession. I Say that like any bell curve, the extremes on either side of the curve (the very young practices and very old practices) will get smacked hard and the impact will be less as you move into the higher and strongest part of the curve - but nearly everyone on the curve will be affected.

I Say context is decisive. I say that disruptive changes of this recession will permanently alter context and the financial context will be forever altered. I Say that if you are expecting the value of your house, your IRA, and your 401K to return to last year's levels, dream on. I Say it will never go back to the way it was.

Some Say:

Continue to sell high-end dentistry, raise fees, and spend money on new equipment. Continue your personal spending on second homes, additional cars, and luxury items. You deserve it for how hard you work. Some say the Incomes Statement is all you need to run you practice.

Some Say the "Associate - Partnership" route is still the best way to accumulate wealth and sail off into the sunset. Some Say people still have plenty of expendable income they will easily free up to spend on cosmetic dentistry. Some Say those decreases in new patients, case acceptance and production are only temporary and there are no changes you need to make.

I Say:

Consider (at least for a moment), participating in 3rd party plans. Reflect on whether a patient in the chair is better than no one in the chair. Consider not raising your fees. I Say tightly manage your personal spending. For now, give up the fantasy of the vacation home on the beach. Keep the four year old car. You don't need a more expensive watch. Appreciate what you have, not regret what you don't have.

I Say start to get very clear on your balance sheet and expenses. Make decisions based on this data. I Say consider 'flat' as the new growth. I Say consider that people may want health more than beauty at this time. Consider that those decreases in new patients, case acceptance and production are not short term, and redesign your practice for this reality.

CHOICE

You are the chooser. Remember, every choice has a consequence.

If you choose what "Some Say" and things turn out like they suggest, you made the right choice. You didn't have to change your practice. You didn't have to reduce your spending. You didn't have to take on plans. You didn't have to manage and own more rigorously. You didn't have to do anything, but ride it out.

On the other hand, if you make the choice of doing nothing and your practice continues to contract, if you don't make any changes or plans, refuse advice on how to run the practice in a recession, didn't curb your spending personally or practice-wise, then that choice may put you up the proverbial creek.

For many of you, it's getting close to the point where you have to choose. What are you going to do? What will you choose?

Copyright © 2004-2010 Dr. Marc B. Cooper & The Mastery Company - All Rights Reserved.



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